Tropical Weather Discussion...Corrected

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Tropical Weather Discussion...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0615 UTC Sat Jan 31 2026 Corrected Special Features for Gulf of America Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0435 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES...Corrected Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front extends from low pressure over central Georgia southwestward to Apalachicola, Florida and continues to 26N89W and to just southeast of Veracruz, Mexico. Fresh to near gale-force NW to N winds and building seas will follow the front as it quickly moves across the area, exiting the basin Sat afternoon. The low pressure will track NE while rapidly intensifying off the Carolina coast on Sat as another blast of arctic air surges across the Gulf support winds to gale force near Veracruz from late tonight into early on Sat, and across the eastern Gulf through late Sat night, with rough to very rough seas across the basin. Gale force winds may briefly gusts to storm force over the NE Gulf. Looking ahead, winds and seas will diminish from W to E across the Gulf Sun through Mon as high pressure shifts eastward across the northern Gulf in the wake of the front. Atlantic Gale Warning: A complex low pressure system will develop just NW of the forecast area. This system will send an unusually strong and powerful arctic cold front off the northeast Florida coast Sat morning. The associated complex low pressure is forecast to deepen rapidly across the NW Atlantic Sat through Sun, becoming quite powerful and inducing a very large area of westerly strong gale force winds and rapidly rising seas covering the waters N of about 24N and west of 60W Sat through Sun evening, before lifting N of the area Sun night. Occasional gusts to storm force will be possible with these winds. The front is expected to reach from near 31N71W to eastern Cuba Sat evening, from near 31N60W to eastern Hispaniola Sun evening, then begin to weaken and stall from near 26N55W to eastern Puerto Rico Mon evening. In the wake of the front, large long period NW swell will impact the waters N and E of the Bahamas from late Sat through early next week. High pressure will shift E roughly along 29N next week. Mariners should monitor the forecasts for Sat and beyond, and prepare to execute avoidance plans from these upcoming rapidly changing conditions. Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more information on both events. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea- Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 03N20W. The ITCZ extends from 03N20W to 01N35W and to 01S45W. No significant convection is evident near these boundaries. ...GULF OF AMERICA... Please see the Special Features section above for information about a Gale Warning in the SW and Eastern Gulf waters. Ahead of the cold front described in the Special Features section, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. For the forecast, another cold front is expected to enter the NW Gulf early Wed and reach from the Florida panhandle to the western Gulf by late Wed.. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... A surface trough extends from a 1013 mb low pres just south of central Cuba to just north of western Panama. Moderate to fresh northerly winds and moderate seas are found behind the trough to 84W. Meanwhile, moderate to fresh eastern winds and moderate seas are occurring in the south-central and eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent. For the forecast, an unusually strong cold front is forecast to move into the northwestern Caribbean Sat morning, then over southeastward merging with the trough. The cold front will reach from western Hispaniola to the northwest coast of Colombia Sun evening, then begin to stall from eastern Puerto Rico to northwest Venezuela by early Mon. Strong to near gale-force N winds and rough seas are expected behind this front. By early Tue, fresh to strong N to NW winds will over just about the entire basin W of a line from the Virgin Islands to NE Colombia along with seas to near 12 ft. These winds and seas diminish slightly in coverage on Wed. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... Please see the Special Features section above for information about a Gale Warning in the W Atlantic. The pressure gradient is tightening in the western waters of the tropical Atlantic due to an approaching cold front, currently over the Gulf of America, and a couple of surface troughs ahead of this boundary. Moderate to locally strong E-SE winds are found between 65W and 76W. Seas in these waters are 5-8 ft. Farther east, a dissipating stationary front extends from 31N43W to the SE Bahamas. Moderate to fresh SW winds and rough seas are found ahead of this boundary to 35W and north of 27N. The remainder of the basin is under the influence of a 1025 mb high pressure system near 30N26W. Moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and rough seas are found south of a line from the Canary Islands to the Leeward Islands. Meanwhile, NW swell is producing rough seas north of the aforementioned line and east of 35W and also north of the dissipating stationary front and east of 65W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail. For the forecast west of 55W, please, see the Special Features section for more information.