Tropical Weather Discussion

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Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2205 UTC Wed Jun 10 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2030 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Recently downgraded Tropical Depression Cristina is centered near 12.6N 88.9W at 10/2100 UTC, moving northwest at 4 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Peak seas are currently near 12 ft, or 4.0 m. Numerous moderate to strong convection is noted from 10N to 15N between 86W and 96W. Cristina has started its northwestward turn. This motion is expected for the next day or so, with the center of Cristina moving inland over El Salvador sometime tonight and into southern Guatemala on Thursday. Heavy rainfall associated with Tropical Depression Cristina will impact coastal portions of Central America through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life- threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest Cristina NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at www.hurricanes.gov for more details. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 12N98W to 07N110W to 10N140W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 08N between 96W and 115W, and from 05N to 10N between 125W and 136W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Gentle to moderate winds prevail south of Cabo San Lucas and at the entrance to the Gulf of California. Light to gentle winds are noted elsewhere. Seas are in the 6-7 ft range, locally to 8 ft, over the open waters off Mexico, and 3 ft or less in the Gulf of California. For the forecast, light to gentle winds will prevail across the waters of Baja California. Gentle to moderate, locally fresh, SW to S winds are expected inside the Gulf of California. Gentle to locally moderate NW to W winds will dominate the waters between Cabo Corrientes and Tehunatepec through Fri, then weaken into the weekend. Rough seas in mixed swells off Baja Norte will linger through Thu. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Please see the Special Features section for details on Tropical Depression Cristina. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh winds surround Cristina from roughly N of 11N and E of 90W. Winds are moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters. Seas are 7-11 ft N of 10N, and mainly 6-7 ft S of 10N. For the forecast, recently downgraded Tropical Depression Cristina is near 12.6N 88.9W at 2 PM PDT, and is moving northwest at 4 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Cristina will move to 13.2N 89.5W Thu morning, inland to 14.6N 90.0W Thu afternoon, and dissipate Fri morning. Otherwise, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas will prevail across the offshore waters Thu into the weekend, except locally rough seas in new southerly swell near the Galapagos Islands Thu and Thu night. Winds may pulse to moderate to locally fresh in diurnal offshore flow in the immediate Gulf of Papagayo and Gulf of Panama during the upcoming weekend. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Moderate to fresh winds prevail N of the monsoon trough and W of 125W. Seas over these waters are in the 6-8 ft range. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 6-7 ft, are found S of 06N and E of 120W. Northerly swell is bringing seas of 6-9 ft to the waters N of 28N between 120W and 130W. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds, and seas of 5-7 ft, prevail. For the forecast, the pressure gradient will loosen, with winds diminishing slightly through Thu. Winds will then be moderate or weaker across the entire open waters. Northerly swells mixed with the longer period southerly swells with seas of 7-9 ft will linger across the N-central waters through the remainder of the week before decaying. Otherwise, moderate seas will dominate the open waters.