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Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1605 UTC Mon Jul 27 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1500 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Hurricane Genevieve is centered near 16.0N 113.1W at 27/1500 UTC, moving northwest at 11 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 929 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 135 kt with gusts to 165 kt. Peak seas are near 44 ft or 13.5 m. Numerous strong convection is noted within 75 nm of the center of Genevieve. Numerous moderate convection is noted elsewhere within 210 of the center, except 180 nm in the NW quadrant, and in a band between 240 nm and 510 nm in the S quadrant. Genevieve is moving toward the northwest. A west-northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. Genevieve is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely today. Steady weakening is forecast tonight through the remainder of the week. Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico and southern portions of the Baja California Peninsula, and will spread northward along the remainder of the west coast of the Baja California Peninsula by tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest Genevieve NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at www.hurricanes.gov for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is along 97W, south of 15N just off the coast of southern Mexico, moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 03N to 07N between 95W and 101W, and also from 12N to 14N between 98W and 102W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 1011 mb low pressure over northern Colombia from 10N75W to 11N81W to 07N97W to 12N107W, then resumes SW of Genevieve from 10N118W to 05N138W. The ITCZ stretches from 05N138W to beyond 04N140W. Scattered to numerous moderate isolated strong convection is present from 01N to 10N between 77W and 89W, from 06N to 08N between 117W and 123W, from 10N to 11.5N between 120W and 124W, from 00N to 05N between 125W and 137W, and from 04.5N to 07.5N between 135.5W and 140W. Similar convection is noted within 150 nm of the coast of Mexico between 100W and 109.5W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Please refer to the Special Features section for information on Major Hurricane Genevieve, currently located SSW of the Revillagigedo Islands Away form the impacts of Genevieve, moderate to fresh N gap winds are in the Tehunatepec region. Moderate to locally fresh NW winds associated with high pressure building in from the N are impacting waters N and W of Guadalupe Island. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds prevail. Seas are slight in the Gulf of California and moderate in the remaining offshore waters. For the forecast, Hurricane Genevieve will move to 16.8N 114.3W this evening, 17.7N 115.8W Tue morning, 18.2N 117.3W Tue evening, 18.8N 118.9W Wed morning, 19.5N 120.7W Wed evening, and 20.4N 122.8W Thu morning. Genevieve will weaken to a tropical storm over 22.1N 127.8W early Fri. Large seas associated with Genevieve will finally pull away from the offshore waters of Baja California by the end of the week. Elsewhere, areas of fresh mainly westerly gap winds are likely tonight through Wed night in the Gulf of California as high pressure builds southward to the west of the Baja California Peninsula. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Please refer to the Tropical Waves and Monsoon Trough/ITCZ sections above for information about convection in the region. High pressure northeast of the area is forcing fresh to locally strong easterly gap winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft across the Gulf of Papagayo region. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas are prevalent. For the forecast, fresh to occasionally strong NE to E gap winds along with locally rough seas will pulse across the Papagayo region through the period. Pulsing moderate to fresh north winds are expected ion the Gulf of Panama Wed through Thu. Locally rough seas in SW swell southwest of the Galapagos Islands will subside by early Tue. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas in southwest swell are expected elsewhere, except in the immediate lee of the Galapagos Islands and nearshore western Colombia where slight seas are forecast. The southwest swell will subside by midweek. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please refer to the Special Features section for information on Major Hurricane Genevieve. Hurricane Fausto continues to move away from the tropical eastern Pacific. Fresh E winds and rough seas up to 11 ft continue to impact waters from 18N to 25N west of 136W. Elsewhere, for waters not being impacted by Fausto or Genevieve, 1023 mb high pressure centered near 33N136W dominates. Moderate to fresh anticyclonic winds and moderate seas impact waters north of 18N and west of 120W. To the south of the ITCZ, a zone of rough seas are noted south of 08N between 95W and 130W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail. For the forecast, Hurricane Genevieve will move to 16.8N 114.3W this evening, 17.7N 115.8W Tue morning, 18.2N 117.3W Tue evening, 18.8N 118.9W Wed morning, 19.5N 120.7W Wed evening, and 20.4N 122.8W Thu morning. Genevieve will weaken to a tropical storm over 22.1N 127.8W early Fri. Hurricane Fausto will continue to weaken as it moves further away from the basin with seas diminishing below 8 ft late tonight in the westernmost waters. The rough seas over