Tropical Weather Discussion

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Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1605 UTC Sat Jun 13 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1430 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... The axis of a tropical wave is near 79W extending from the Caribbean southward, moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted E of 82W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 10N84W to 11N100W to 07N140W. Two lows are embedded within the monsoon trough. One is a 1007 mb low near 08N127W, and the other a 1007 mb low near 08N136W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 12N between 95W and 113W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted along the monsoon trough in the vicinity of the lows from 03N to 09N between 122W and 140W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A weak pressure gradient prevails across the area. With the weak pressure gradient, light to gentle winds prevail over the discussion waters, except gentle to locally moderate winds off Cabo San Lucas and near the Revillagigedo Islands. Seas are in the 5-6 ft range over the open waters off Mexico, and 3 ft or less in the Gulf of California. For the forecast, light to gentle winds will prevail across the waters of Baja California through tonight, increasing slightly thereafter. Gentle to occasionally moderate S to SW winds are expected inside the Gulf of California and near the tip of Baja California Sur. Light to gentle winds will dominate the waters between Cabo Corrientes and Tehunatepec. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate to fresh, locally strong winds prevail in the Gulf of Papagayo. Gentle to moderate winds are found between the Galapagos Islands and Colombia, as well as in the Gulf of Panama. Gentle winds are found elsewhere. Seas are in the 5-7 ft range between the Galapagos Islands and Colombia, and 4-6 ft elsewhere. For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas will prevail across the offshore waters through the weekend. Winds may pulse to moderate to locally fresh in diurnal offshore flow in the immediate Gulf of Papagayo and near the Gulf of Guayaquil into early next week. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Broad troughing prevails across the waters N of 15N. A weak pressure gradient is supporting mainly light to gentle winds N of the monsoon trough. Two areas of low pressure are embedded within the monsoon trough, one is a 1007 mb low near 08N127W, and the other a 1007 mb low near 08N136W. Moderate to fresh winds are S of the monsoon trough and W of 124W, reaching strong speeds S of two areas of low pressure. Gentle to moderate winds are elsewhere S of the monsoon trough. Northerly swell that has impacted the northern waters continues to subside, with seas reaching to 8 ft covering a small area N of 28.5N between 131W and 138W. Mainly moderate seas are found elsewhere, except rough seas to 9 ft in the waters south of the two areas of low pressure. For the forecast, the northerly swell will subside further today. Fresh to occasionally strong winds, and rough seas, are expected near the low pressure areas along western portion of the monsoon trough into early next week. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds, and moderate seas, will prevail across the open waters.