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Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2205 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2135 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Hurricane Genevieve is centered near 13.9N 110.3W at 26/2100 UTC, moving west-northwest at 12 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 947 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 120 kt with gusts to 145 kt. Peak seas are near 35 ft (10.5 M). A west- northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected during the next few days. Genevieve is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Continued strengthening is expected during the next day or so. Genevieve is then forecast to start weakening by the middle of this week. Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico and will likely reach southern portions of the Baja California Peninsula tonight or Monday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest NHC Forecast/Advisories and Public Advisories of both systems at www.hurricanes.gov for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is along 94W, south of 18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is observed between 90W and 100W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 10N85W to 07N93W to 09N99W and then from 09N115W to 08N121W. The ITCZ stretches from 08N121W to 07N128W. A surface trough is along 130W, south of 12N. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is present north of 03N and east of 85W. Similar convection is found south of 09N and between 125W and 140W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Please refer to the Special Features section for details on Hurricane Genevieve, currently located a few hundred miles SW of Mexico. The pressure gradient between high pressure over the southern United States and lower pressures in the tropics results in fresh N-NE winds across the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Seas in these waters are 6-8 ft. A similar gradient is bringing moderate to fresh NW winds and seas of 5-7 ft to the waters west of Guadalupe Island. In the remainder of the offshore waters of Baja California, light to gentle winds and moderate seas are present. Moderate to locally fresh S-SE winds and seas of 4-6 ft are noted in the northern Gulf of California waters, while lighter winds and slight seas prevail in the rest of the gulf. For the forecast, Hurricane Genevieve is near 13.9N 110.3W at 2 PM PDT, and is moving west-northwest at 12 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 120 kt with gusts to 145 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 947 mb. Genevieve will move to 14.8N 111.7W Mon morning, 16.0N 113.4W Mon afternoon, 17.0N 114.9W Tue morning, 17.6N 116.4W Tue afternoon, 18.3N 117.8W Wed morning, and 18.9N 119.5W Wed afternoon. Genevieve will weaken as it moves NW to WNW Thu afternoon. Elsewhere, fresh to locally strong N winds expected in the Gulf of Tehuantepec through Monday. Winds may freshen off Baja California Norte by the end of the week. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Please refer to the Tropical Waves section above for information about convection in the region. High pressure north of the area is forcing fresh to locally strong easterly trade winds and seas of 6-8 ft across the Gulf of Papagayo region, extending westward to 93W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas are prevalent. For the forecast, high pressure north of the area will force fresh to locally strong easterly trade winds in the Gulf of Papagayo region will pulse through the period. Moderate to rough seas will accompany these winds. Pulsing moderate to fresh north winds are expected in the Gulf of Panama starting Wed along with slight to moderate seas. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas in southwest swell are expected elsewhere, except in the immediate lee of the Galapagos Islands and nearshore western Colombia where slight seas are forecast. The southwest swell will subside around midweek. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please refer to the Special Features section for details on Hurricane Genevieve, currently located a few hundred miles SW of Mexico. Hurricane Fausto continues to move away from the tropical eastern Pacific. Fresh to near gale-force cyclonic winds and rough to very rough seas are occurring from 17N to 25N and west of 136W. The remainder of the basin is under the influence of a 1026 mb high pressure system centered near 30N133W. Moderate to locally fresh N-NE winds and moderate seas are occurring north of 20N and west of 120W. Moderate easterly winds and moderate seas are present from 08N to 20N and between 123W and 135W. Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh SE-S winds and rough seas are evident south of 10N and between 95W and 125W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail. For the forecast, Hurricane Genevieve is near 13.9N 110.3W at 2 PM PDT, and is moving west-northwest at 12 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 120 kt with gusts to 145 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 947 mb. Genevieve will move to 14.8N 111.7W Mon morning, 16.0N 113.4W Mon afternoon, 17.0N 114.9W Tue morning, 17.6N 116.4W Tue afternoon, 18.3N 117.8W Wed morning, and 18.9N 119.5W Wed afternoon. Genevieve will weaken as it moves NW to WNW Thu afternoon. Hurricane Fausto will continue to weaken as it moves further away from the basin with seas diminishing below 8 ft Mon night in the westernmost waters. In the southern waters, the swell will gradually diminish, with seas below 8 ft by Tue.