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Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Wed Jun 10 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0700 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Tropical Storm Cristina is centered near 12.4N 88.5W at 10/0900 UTC, moving west at 3 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Peak seas are currently around 12-13 ft or 4.0 m. Numerous moderate to strong convection is noted within 75 nm in the NE semicircle and 240 nm in the SW semicircle. Additional similar convection is inland over portions of southern Mexico and Guatemala, with outer scattered moderate near the coast of Oaxaca and Chiapas. Cristina is moving toward the west. A turn toward the west-northwest and northwest is expected today and tonight, with a continued northwestward motion on Thu. On the forecast track, Cristina should linger offshore of El Salvador, Honduras, and Nicaragua today and then approach the coast of El Salvador tonight into early Thu. Slight strengthening is possible through tonight, with weakening forecast on Thu after Cristina moves inland. Heavy rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Cristina will impact coastal portions of Central America through Thu. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest Cristina NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at www.hurricanes.gov for more details. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... A monsoon trough extends from northern Colombia to across Panama at 08.5N77W to just S of the Gulf of Papagayo at 10N86W, then resumes well WSW of Tropical Storm Cristina at 10.5N94W to 07N114W to 08.5N134W. The ITCZ extends from 08.5N134W to 10.5N139W with low pressure just W of 140W at 11N140.5W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 02.5N to 05.5N between 83W and 85.5W, from 05N to 08N between 104W and 107W, and from 05N to 09.5N between 135.5W and 139.5W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... High pressure, 1030 mb, NW of the area near 36N144W or well NE of the Hawaiian Islands extends a ridge SE through 30N136W to near the Revillagigedo Islands. Broad troughing exists over mainland Mexico, as well as from Baja California near Cabo San Lazaro southwestward disrupting the pressure pattern. As a result, moderate to fresh NW-N winds are found offshore Baja California Norte. Winds are moderate or weaker elsewhere, locally fresh near Cabo San Lucas and through Baja Sur gaps into portions of the southern Gulf of California. Seas are 7-9 ft in mixed cross-equatorial long period, decaying S-SW swell and shorter period NW swell. Seas are 7-10 ft in the same decaying swell to the E of 103W, and 7-8 ft between 103W and 110W. In the Gulf of California, seas are 3 ft or less, except 4-7 ft near the entrance in the old southerly swell. For the forecast, a broad surface ridge extending into the waters of the Revillagigedo Islands will weaken and shift westward today through the upcoming weekend, as broad low pressure along the coast of southern California drifts westward. This will lead to light to gentle winds across the waters of Baja California, and moderate to locally fresh SW to S winds inside the Gulf of California. Afternoon and evening winds will pulse moderate to locally fresh near the coast Fri through the weekend. Northerly swell will merge with strong S swell moving through the Baja waters through today to maintain rough seas before subsiding. Gentle to locally moderate NW to W winds will dominate the waters between Cabo Corrientes and Tehunatepec through Fri, then weaken into the weekend. Large cross-equatorial S-SW swell dominating those waters will gradually subside through today, while mixed swells off Baja Norte to rough linger through Thu. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Please see the Special Features section for details on Tropical Storm Cristina, just offshore of the Gulf of Fonseca. Active nearby convection is described above. Moderate to fresh winds surround Cristina from roughly N of 10N and E of 90W. Winds are moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters, locally moderate to fresh out of the SE near the Galapagos Islands. Seas are 7-11 ft N of 05N, and mainly 6-8 ft S of 05N. For the forecast, Tropical Storm Cristina will move to 12.7N 88.9W this afternoon, 13.4N 89.5W Thu morning, move inland and weaken to a tropical depression near 14.5N 90.0W Thu afternoon, and dissipate Fri morning. Heavy rainfall is expected across coastal portions of Nicaragua and El Salvador and may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Otherwise, cross-equatorial S-SW swell will continue to impact the regional through today while gradually subsiding, resulting in large and powerful surf along the coasts. Refer to your local meteorological information for more details on the surf zone and beach impacts. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas will prevail across the offshore waters Thu into the weekend, except locally rough seas in new southerly swell near the Galapagos Islands Thu and Thu night. Winds may pulse to moderate to locally fresh in diurnal offshore flow in the immediate Gulf of Papagayo and Gulf of Panama during the upcoming weekend. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... The remnant low of Post-Tropical Cyclone Amanda is analyzed just W of 140W near 101N140.5W. High pressure, 1030 mb, NW of the area near 36N144W or well NE of the Hawaiian Islands extends a ridge SE through 30N136W to near the Revillagigedo Islands. Broad troughing exists over mainland Mexico, as well as from Baja California near Cabo San Lazaro southwestward to near 10N124W disrupting the pressure pattern to the E of the troughing. N of 10N and W of the broad troughing, moderate to fresh N-NE trades prevail along with 6-9 ft in mixed northerly and southerly swells. Winds are gentle to moderate across the remainder of the open waters, except locally fresh S of the Equator and E of 110W. Seas are 7-10 ft in decaying long-period, cross-equatorial swell N of 08N and E of 104W, and mainly 6-8 ft across the remainder of the waters. For the forecast, the high pressure ridging is forecast to weaken and back off to the NW as the broad troughing deepens slightly and weakens the pressure pattern. This will result in the moderate to fresh trades N of 10N and W of 120W diminishing later today through Thu. Winds will then be moderate or weaker across the entire open waters, except locally moderate to fresh during the upcoming weekend near any transient, embedded low pressure areas in the monsoon trough. For seas, northerly swells mixed with the longer period southerly swells with seas of 7-9 ft will linger across the N-central waters through the remainder of the work-week before finally decaying. Meanwhile, long-period southerly swell with rough seas over eastern portions will subside today into tonight. Seas may pulse to 8 ft S of 10N between 95W and 125W through the end of the week. Otherwise and afterwards moderate seas will dominate the open waters.