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Low Pressure System Moves Over Northern Florida

Tuesday July 15, 2025 3:36 PM EDT

A low pressure system designated as Invest 93L moved over northern Florida on Tuesday.  At 2:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of a low pressure system designated as Invest 93L was located at latitude 29.8°N and longitude 81.2°W which put the center about 10 miles (15 km) southeast of St. Augustine, Florida.  Invest 93L was moving toward the west at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 30 m.p.h. (50 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1013 mb.

The center of a low pressure system designated as Invest 93L moved over the coast of northern Florida between St. Augustine and Daytona Beach on Tuesday afternoon.  The distribution of thunderstorms in Invest 93L was asymmetrical.  Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the southwestern quadrant of the low pressure system.  Those thunderstorms were dropping heavy rain in some locations.  Bands in the other parts of Invest 93L consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.

Flood Watches were in effect for parts of the Florida Peninsula.  The region under Flood Watches extended from south of Gainesville to north of Sebring, and it included Orlando, Tampa and St. Petersburg.

The low pressure system designated as Invest 93L will move around the southern side of a high pressure system over the southeastern U.S.  The high pressure system will steer Invest 93L toward the west during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Invest 93L will move across northern Florida during the next 12 hours.  The center of Invest 93L could move over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday.

If the center of Invest 93L moves over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, it could move into an environment somewhat favorable for the development of a tropical cyclone on Wednesday.  Invest 93L would move over water where where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30°C.  It would move under the southeastern part of an upper level ridge over the southeastern U.S.  The upper level ridge would produce northeasterly winds that would blow toward the top of Invest 93L.  Those winds would cause moderate vertical wind shear.  The vertical wind shear would inhibit the development of a tropical cyclone.  However, the wind shear might not be enough to prevent Invest 93L from developing into a tropical cyclone.

A U.S. Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter reconnaissance plane is tentatively tasked with investigating the low pressure system on Wednesday afternoon, if necessary.