Former Tropical Storm Raymond weakened to a tropical depression south of Baja California on Saturday. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Depression Raymond was located at latitude 22.5°N and longitude 109.9°W which put the center about 30 miles (50 km) south of the southern tip of Baja California. Raymond was moving toward the north-northwest at 14 m.p.h. (22 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1005 mb.
Former Tropical Storm Raymond weakened to a tropical depression south of Baja California on Saturday. Most of the thunderstorms in Raymond’s circulation dissipated. The bands revolving around the center of Tropical Depression Raymond consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. There were no thunderstorms near the center of Raymond’s circulation to generate upper level divergence. Converging winds in the lower levels of the atmosphere caused the surface pressure to increase.
Tropical Depression Raymond will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Raymond will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28°C. It will move under the southwestern part of an upper level ridge that is over Mexico. The upper level ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Raymond’s circulation. Those winds will cause strong vertical wind shear. The strong wind shear will cause Tropical Depression Raymond to continue to weaken.
Tropical Depression Raymond will move around the western side of a high pressure system that is over Mexico. The high pressure system will steer Raymond toward the north during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Depression Raymond will move across the southern part of Baja California on Saturday night.
Tropical Depression Raymond will bring gusty winds and isolated heavy rain to parts of southern Baja California.
