Tropical Weather Discussion

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Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Fri Feb 27 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0200 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The ITCZ is south of the Equator and runs from 04S108W to beyond 04S120W. No significant convection is associated with this feature. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A ridge dominates the offshore forecast waters of Baja California supporting moderate NW winds with moderate seas. Moderate NW winds are also observed across the central Gulf of California. Light to gentle winds are elsewhere, including the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Moderate seas prevail over the remainder of the Mexican offshore waters, with slight seas in the Gulf of California. For the forecast, the ridge will continue to dominate the forecast waters offshore of Baja California through the remainder of the week, producing mainly gentle to moderate NW winds with moderate seas. Then, moderate to fresh winds are expected across the offshore waters N of Cabo San Lazaro Sun night through Tue night as the pressure gradient tightens across the area between a stronger high pressure to the W and lower pressures over northern Mexico. In the Gulf of California, gentle to locally moderate winds and slight seas will prevail. Fresh to strong northerly winds are expected in the Gulf of Tehuantepec Fri night and Sat night. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Fresh NE winds are blowing across the Papagayo region with seas of 5 to 7 ft. Moderate N winds are ongoing through the Gulf of Panama, where seas are 4 to 6 ft. Elsewhere, winds are gentle or weaker with slight to moderate seas. For the forecast, pulsing fresh to strong winds are expected in the Papagayo area tonight through Sat night, then again Mon through Tue night as high pressure strengthens N of area. Seas are forecast to build up to 8 ft within these winds. Moderate to locally fresh N winds and slight to moderate seas are forecast in the Gulf of Panama at night through at least Mon night as N winds from the Caribbean funnel into the Gulf of Panama. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A stationary front is over the NW corner of the forecast region and extends from 30N134W to 20N140W. Seas of 8 to 10 ft follow the front while winds have diminished to 10 to 15 kt on either side of the front. A 1022 mb high pressure is centered near 32N125W. The associated ridge covers the forecast waters N of 15N W of 110W, including the Revillagigedo Islands. Moderate to locally fresh trades are present along the southern periphery of the ridge with moderate seas. Rough seas are also noted roughly from 04N to 12N and W of 110W. For the forecast, the front will remain nearly stationary over the NW waters through Fri and gradually dissipate on Sat. Seas following the front will subside to less than 8 ft late on Fri. At the same time, the areas of swell in the trade wind zone will continue to subside over the next 24 to 48 hours. High pressure will build eastward in the wake of the front during the upcoming weekend.