Tropical Weather Discussion...Corrected

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Tropical Weather Discussion...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0945 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Hurricane Fausto is centered near 19.7N 139.8W, or about 860 nm east of Hilo, Hawaii at 26/0900 UTC, moving west at 11 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 974 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 80 kt with gusts to 100 kt. Peak seas are around 34 ft. Satellite imagery indicates that Fausto's overall structure has begun to deteriorate during the past several hours. The imagery reveals numerous to isolated strong convection within 120 NM in the W semicircle of the center. Scattered moderate convection is within 90 nm E semicircle of the center. Fausto will cross 140W shortly, however, fresh to near gale- force winds will linger from 18N to 25N west of 136W along with seas of 8 to 11 ft. These conditions will subside by early on Mon afternoon as Fausto continues to pull farther west of the discussion area. Hurricane Genevieve is centered near 12.9N 108.3W, or about 450 nm south-southwest of of Manzanillo, Mexico at 26/0900 UTC, moving west-northwest at 15 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 80 kt with gusts to 100 kt. Peak seas are up to around 32 ft. Satellite imagery that Genevieve is quickly becoming bettor organized and intensifying. Well-established upper-level outflow is noted in nearly all of the quadrants. The imagery shows a small ragged eye and banding features tightly wrapping around it. Numerous strong convection is within 60 nm of the center in the N semicircle, within 90 nm of the center in the SE quadrant, within 120 nm in the SW quadrant and 60 nm in the NW quadrant. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection marks an outer rain band within 60 nm of a line from 11N105W to 07N108W to 07N108W to 06N114W and to 06.5N118W. Some decrease in forward speed is expected during the next few days. Continued rapid intensification is expected during the next day or so, and Genevieve is forecast to become a major hurricane by late today. Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico and will likely reach southern portions of the Baja California Peninsula Sun night or on Mon. These swells are likely to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. Genevieve is forecast to become a hurricane by tonight and a major hurricane by Monday. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest NHC Forecast/Advisories and Public Advisories of both systems at www.hurricanes.gov for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is along 92W north of 03N to inland southeastern Mexico. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are near the wave axis. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from low pressure over northwest Colombia southwestward across southern Panama to 05N80W and northwestwaRd to 07N84W to 07N89W to 06N91W, then northwestward to 07N93W and to 07N96W. It resumes south of Hurricane Genevieve near 10N107W to 08N114W. The ITCZ extends from 08N115W to 08.5N123W to 09N127W. Numerous strong convection is within 60 nm of the trough between 77W-80W. Scattered moderate convection is within 120 nm south of the ITCZ between 120W-124W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A surface ridge extends northwest to southwest over the waters west of Baja California. The gradient between the ridge and relatively lower pressures over Baja California is supporting moderate to fresh northwest winds over the waters west of Baja California, primarily north of Punta Eugenia, mostly gentle northwest to north winds south of Punta Eugenia. Seas over the waters west of Baja California are 4 to 6 ft in northwest swell, except for slightly higher seas of 5 to 7 ft north of Punta Eugenia. Light and variable winds are over waters southeast of Baja California to near 18N along with seas of 3 to 5 ft in south to southwest swell. Fresh to strong east to southeast winds in the northern outer periphery of now Hurricane Genevieve are present south of 18N along with seas 7 to 11 ft in southeast to south swell. For the forecast, Genevieve will rapidly intensify as it moves near 13.8N 109.8W this afternoon with maximum sustained winds 100 kt gusts 120 kt, to near 14.9N 111.8W late tonight, and continue to rapidly intensify as it moves to near 16.1N 113.4W Mon afternoon with maximum sustained winds 125 kt gusts 150 kt, move to near 17.1N 114.9W late Mon night, then begin to gradually weaken as it moves to near 17.9N 116.3W Tue afternoon, to near 18.5N 117.9W late Tue night with maximum sustained winds 105 kt gusts 130 kt and change little in intensity as it moves to near 19.8N 121.3W late Wed night. As Genevieve tracks in a general west- northwestward to northwestward motion west of Baja California Sur next week, the pressure gradient between it and high pressure to its north the pressure gradient will tighten west of Baja California Norte. Swells from Genevieve will impact the waters from the state of Guerrero north to offshore Baja California Norte, including the southern portion of the Gulf of California through most of the upcoming week. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...Corrected Fresh northeast winds continue across the Papagayo region and extending downwind to near 90W, and northward to southern Nicaragua. Seas are 5 to 7 ft with these winds. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are over these waters. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker with seas 4 to 5 ft in S to SW swell. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are over these waters. For the forecast, the fresh to strong northeast to east winds in the Gulf of Papagayo region will pulse through the period. Moderate to rough seas will accompany these winds. Pulsing moderate to fresh north winds are expected in the Gulf of Panama starting Wed along with slight to moderate seas. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas in southwest swell are expected elsewhere, except in the immediate lee of the Galapagos Islands and nearshore western Colombia where slight seas are forecast. The southwest swell will subside around midweek. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please refer to the Special Features section for details on Hurricane Fausto and on Hurricane Genevieve. Hurricane Fausto is impacting a portion of the western part of the area. Fresh to strong winds outside of the immediate circulation of Fausto extend northward to 27N, with seas of 7 to 10 ft. Elsewhere, high pressure dominates the waters between Baja California and Fausto, and also north of 15N west of 120W. Moderate or weaker winds with moderate seas prevail. Cross-equatorial southwest swell over the waters south of about 04N between 104W and 131W is providing for 8 to 10 ft seas over that portion of the area. A surface trough is analyzed between Fausto and Genevieve along a position from 10N130W to 03N129.5W. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 02N to 10N between 125W and 133W. For the forecast, Hurricane Fausto will move west of 140W soon this morning, maximum sustained winds 80 kt gusts 100 kt, and to well west of the area near 20.7N 145.5W by Mon morning while gradually weakening. Hurricane Genevieve will rapidly intensify as it moves to near 13.8N 109.8W this afternoon with maximum sustained winds 100 kt gusts 120 kt, to near 14.9N 111.8W late tonight, and continue to rapidly intensify as it moves to near 16.1N 113.4W Mon afternoon with maximum sustained winds 125 kt gusts 150 kt, move to near 17.1N 114.9W late Mon night, then begin to gradually weaken as it moves to near 17.9N 116.3W Tue afternoon, to near 18.5N 117.9W late Tue night with maximum sustained winds 105 kt gusts 130 kt and change little in intensity as it moves to near 19.8N 121.3W late Wed night. The aforementioned cross-equatorial swell mentioned earlier will decay early next week.