Tropical Weather Discussion

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Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1605 UTC Tue May 5 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1430 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... A surface trough extends from 09N84W to 09N115W. The ITCZ continues from 09N115W to 06N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N to 09N E of 115W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 10N W of 115W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Fresh to locally strong SW gap winds are in the northern Gulf of California, with seas of 4-5 ft. Light to gentle winds, and seas of 3 ft or less, are over the remainder of the Gulf. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 5-7 ft, prevail west of the Baja California peninsula. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 4-6 ft, are found elsewhere. For the forecast, moderate to fresh winds will prevail offshore Baja California through midweek before diminishing slightly. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are expected through the week. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate to fresh winds are over the Gulf of Papagayo, extending downstream to near 88W. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Seas are moderate in S-SW swell across the waters, except slight offshore Colombia. For the forecast, fresh easterly winds are expected in the Papagayo region through tonight, and then pulsing at night starting Thu night. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas in southerly swell are expected through much of the week. A set of SW swell may build seas to rough south of the Galapagos Islands on Fri. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A ridge dominates the forecast waters north of the ITCZ. The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds north of the ITCZ to 20N between 130W and 140W. Seas are 6-8 ft over these waters. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are noted. For the forecast, the pressure gradient will support fresh trades, strong at times, north of the ITCZ to about 20N and west of 120W through the week, with seas of 6-8 ft across this area. Mainly gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas will prevail elsewhere through the week, except seas building to rough south of the Equator by mid-week in southerly swell.