Tropical Weather Discussion

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Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2205 UTC Sun Jun 14 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1930 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... The axis of a tropical wave is near 86W extending from the NW Caribbean southward, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 01N to 08N between 83W and 90W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 09.5N84W to 06.5N93W to 10N115W to 06N140W. A 1007 mb low is embedded within the monsoon trough near 08N132W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 03N to 11N between 120W and 136W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A weak 1018 mb high pressure is centered west of the area near 27N121W. A surface trough extends across the Gulf of California. The pressure gradient between these features is supporting gentle to locally moderate winds west of Baja California, extending southward to near Cabo San Lucas, and over the Gulf of California. A weak pressure gradient across the remainder of the discussion waters is supporting light to gentle winds over the waters south of southern and southwestern Mexico. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range over the open waters off Mexico, and 3 ft or less in the Gulf of California. For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas will prevail across the offshore waters through the weekend. Moderate winds will pulse to fresh in diurnal offshore flow in the immediate Gulf of Papagayo through the early part of the week, reaching strong speeds early today as a tropical wave over the area enhances gap flow. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate to fresh winds prevail in the Gulf of Papagayo. Gentle to moderate winds are found between the Galapagos Islands and Colombia. Gentle winds are found elsewhere. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range across the discussion waters. For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas will prevail across the offshore waters through the weekend. Moderate winds will pulse to fresh in diurnal offshore flow in the immediate Gulf of Papagayo into early next week. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A 1007 mb low is centered near 08N132W. Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 8-10 ft, are in the vicinity of the low. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds, locally moderate, and moderate seas prevail across the discussion waters. For the forecast, the area of low pressure near 08N133W is being closely monitored as environmental conditions could support some development during the next couple of days while the system moves northeastward then northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. By midweek, dry air is expected to limit further development. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds, and moderate seas, will prevail.