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Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0345 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Hurricane Fausto is centered near 19.5N 138.8W, or about 920 nm east of Hilo, Hawaii at 26/0300 UTC, moving west at 11 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 85 kt with gusts to 105 kt. Peak seas are to around 34 ft. Satellite imagery indicates that Fausto's overall structure has changed little during the past several hours. The imagery reveals numerous moderate to strong convection within 120 nm of the center, except 90 nm in the NE quadrant. Fausto is forecast move west of 140W on Sun morning, however, fresh to near gale-force winds will linger from 18N to 25N west of 136W along with seas of 8 to 11 ft. These conditions will subside by early Mon afternoon as Fausto continues to well west of the discussion area. Recently upgraded Hurricane Genevieve is centered near 12.1N 106.7W, or roughly about 430 nm south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico at 8 PM PDT, and is moving west-northwest at 13 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb. Peak seas are to 27 ft. Satellite imagery that Genevieve is quickly becoming bettor organized and intensifying. Well-established upper-level outflow is noted in nearly all of the quadrants. The imagery reveals banding features wrapping around its center. Numerous strong convection is within 90 nm of the center in the NE quadrant, within 120 nm of the center in the SE quadrant and 60 nm in the SW quadrant. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection denotes an outer band within 90 nm of a line from 10N105W to 07N108W, and within 30 nm of a line from 07N108W to 5.5N112W and to 06N117W. A west-northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected during the next few days. Rapid intensification is expected during the next day or so, and Genevieve is forecast to become a major hurricane by late Sun. Swells generated by Genevieve are affecting portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico and will likely reach southern portions of the Baja California Peninsula Sun night or on Mon. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. Genevieve is forecast to become a hurricane by tonight and a major hurricane by Monday. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest NHC Forecast/Advisories and Public Advisories of both systems at www.hurricanes.gov for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is along 90W north of 03N to inland central Guatemala. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are near its southern portion, and over some sections of Guatemala. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from low pressure over northwest Colombia west-southwestward to just north of Panama, to across southern Costa Rica, to 09N84W, to 06N90W and to 08N95W. It resume south of Hurricane Genevieve near 09.5N107W to 08N114W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 08N120W and to 09N127W. Scattered moderate convection is within 120 nm south of the ITCZ between 117W-124W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A surface ridge extends northwest to southwest over the waters west of Baja California. The gradient between the ridge and relatively lower pressures over Baja California is supporting moderate to fresh northwest winds over the waters west of Baja California, primarily north of Punta Eugenia, mostly gentle northwest to north winds south of Punta Eugenia. Seas over the waters west of Baja California are 4 to 6 ft in northwest swell, except for slightly higher seas of 5 to 7 ft north of Punta Eugenia. Light and variable winds are over waters southeast of Baja California to near 18N along with seas of 3 to 5 ft in south to southwest swell. Fresh to strong east to southeast winds in the northern outer periphery of now Hurricane Genevieve are present south of 18N along with seas 7 to 11 ft in southeast to south swell. For the forecast, Genevieve will rapidly intensify as it moves to near 13.0N 108.5W Sun morning with maximum sustained winds gusts 80 kt gusts 100 kt, to near 14.2N 110.5W Sun evening, to near 15.3N 112.2W Mon morning with maximum sustained winds 110 kt gusts 135 kt, to near 16.5N 113.7W Mon evening, to near 17.3N 115.0W Tue morning, and to near 18.1N 116.4W Tue evening with maximum sustained winds 105 kt gusts 130 kt. Genevieve is forecast to change little in intensity as it moves to near 19.3N 119.7W Wed evening. As Genevieve tracks in a general west- northwestward to northwestward motion west of Baja California Sur next week, the pressure gradient between it and high pressure to its north the pressure gradient will tighten west of Baja California Norte. Swells from Genevieve will impact just about all of the offshore waters outside the Gulf of California, except for its entrance through next week building seas over these waters to 12 ft and greater. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Fresh northeast winds continue across the Papagayo region and extending downwind to near 90W, and northward to southern Nicaragua. Seas are 5 to 7 ft with these winds. Scattered showers are over most of the offshore waters north of Costa Rica. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker with seas 4 to 5 ft in S to SW swell. For the forecast, the fresh to strong northeast to east winds in the Gulf of Papagayo region will pulse across the Papagayo region well into next week. Moderate to rough seas will accompany these winds. Gentle to moderate north winds are expected in the Gulf of Panama into early next week with slight to moderate seas. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas in southwest swell are expected elsewhere, except in the immediate lee of the Galapagos Islands and nearshore western Colombia where slight seas are forecast. The southwest swell will subside around midweek. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please refer to the Special Features section for details on Hurricane Fausto and on recently upgraded Hurricane Genevieve. Hurricane Fausto is impacting a portion of the western part of the area. Fresh to strong winds outside of the immediate circulation of Fausto extend northward to 27N, with seas of 7 to 10 ft. Elsewhere, high pressure dominates the waters between Baja California and Fausto, and also north of 15N west of 120W. Moderate or weaker winds with moderate seas prevail. Cross-equatorial southwest swell over the waters south of about 04N between 104W and 131W is providing for 8 to 10 ft seas over that portion of the area. A surface trough is analyzed between Fausto and Genevieve along a position from 10N129W to 01N130W. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 01N to 10N between 124W and 133W. For the forecast, Hurricane Fausto will move to near to 19.8N 140.5W with maximum sustained winds 80 kt gusts 100 kt, and to well west of the area near 20.7N 145.5W by Mon morning while gradually weakening. Hurricane Genevieve will rapidly intensify as it moves to near 13.0N 108.5W Sun morning with maximum sustained winds gusts 80 kt gusts 100 kt, to near 14.2N 110.5W Sun evening, to near 15.3N 112.2W Mon morning with maximum sustained winds 110 kt gusts 135 kt, to near 16.5N 113.7W Mon evening, to near 17.3N 115.0W Tue morning, and to near 18.1N 116.4W Tue evening with maximum sustained winds 105 kt gusts 130 kt. Genevieve is forecast to change little in intensity as it moves to near 19.3N 119.7W Wed evening. The cross-equatorial swell mentioned earlier will decay early next week.