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Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Thu Jun 11 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0700 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... The Remnants of Cristina are centered near 13.2N 89.1W at 11/0600 UTC, moving northwest at 6 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Peak seas are currently 7-8 ft or 2-2.5 m. Nearby convection includes numerous strong in the Gulf of Tehuantepec and adjacent areas from 12N to 18N between 92W and 97W. Scattered to numerous moderate convection is found elsewhere from 12N to 21N between 81W and 92W with the majority concentrated over land. Recent satellite-derived winds from ASCAT-B and -C, along with proxy-visible satellite images, indicate that Cristina no longer has a well-defined circulation center and has degenerated into a weak surface trough near the coast of El Salvador. The remnants are moving toward the northwest near and this general motion is expected to continue today. Heavy rainfall associated with the remnants of Cristina will impact coastal portions of Central America through today. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Please read the final HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest Cristina NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at www.hurricanes.gov for more details. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 1009 mb low pressure over northern Colombia at 10.5N74W to across the SW Caribbean Sea to across portions of Panama, Costa Rica and Nicaragua, emerging offshore in the Pacific near 12N87W to 13.5N91W to 08N105W to 10N140W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 02N to 06N between 85.5W and 91.5W, and from 05.5N to 11N between 130W and 137W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 03N to 08N between 99W and 116W, and from 06N to 10N between 119W and 125W. Additional convection is described above with the Remnants of Cristina. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Broad and elongated troughing extends from offshore Baja California near 30N122W southwestward to 10N129W, disrupting and backing off the ridge to the W. Under this pressure pattern winds are mainly moderate or weaker across the offshore waters, including in the Gulf of California, except local moderate to fresh westerly winds near the southern tip of Baja California Sur, and just N of there through the gaps into portions of the southern Gulf of California, as well as in the Gulf of California N of 30N. Seas are in the 6-7 ft range across the open waters, and 3 ft or less in the Gulf of California N of the entrance, except 7-9 ft well offshore Baja California Norte mixed with NW swell. Winds and seas may be higher in any deep convection off southern Mexico including the Gulf of Tehuantepec area as described above in the Special Features section. For the forecast, light to gentle winds will prevail across the waters of Baja California. Gentle to moderate, locally fresh, SW to S winds are expected inside the Gulf of California and near the tip of Baja California Sur. Gentle to locally moderate NW to W winds will dominate the waters between Cabo Corrientes and Tehunatepec through Fri, then weaken into the weekend. Rough seas in mixed swells off Baja Norte will linger through today before decaying. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Please see the Special Features section for details on recently downgraded Remnants of Cristina. Otherwise, winds are moderate or weaker across the offshore waters, except moderate to locally fresh SE winds from offshore southern Ecuador to the Galapagos Islands. seas are 5-7 ft in decaying S-SW swell across the offshore waters, locally to 8 ft near the Remnants of Cristina. For the forecast, the Remnants of Cristina will dissipate later this morning. Otherwise, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas will prevail across the offshore waters today into the weekend, except locally rough seas in new southerly swell near the Galapagos Islands later today and tonight. Winds may pulse to moderate to locally fresh in diurnal offshore flow in the immediate Gulf of Papagayo and near the Gulf of Guayaquil during the upcoming weekend into early next week. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Broad and elongated troughing extends from offshore Baja California near 30N122W southwestward to 10N129W, disrupting and backing off the ridge to the W. Under this pressure pattern winds are N-NE at moderate to locally fresh speeds N of 10N and W of the troughing. Seas are 6-8 ft in mainly long-period southerly swells across these waters, except higher at 7-10 ft mixed with northerly swell N of 27N between 119W and 131W. Winds elsewhere N of the monsoon trough and E of the elongated troughing to the N are gentle,with 6-7 ft seas dominated by the southerly swell. Winds are mainly moderate S of the monsoon trough with 6-8 ft seas, except slightly lower E of 90W. Some active convective clusters are present along portions of the monsoon trough as described above. For the forecast, the pressure gradient will loosen W of the elongated troughing, with winds diminishing there slightly today. Winds will then be moderate or weaker across the entire open waters, except at least moderate to fresh near transient embedded low pressure areas along western portions of the monsoon trough. Northerly swells mixed with the longer period southerly swells with seas of 7-9 ft will linger across the N-central waters through the remainder of the week before decaying. Otherwise, moderate seas will dominate the open waters, locally rough in the S-central waters through the end of the week, as well as near any of the embedded monsoon trough lows.