Tropical Weather Discussion

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Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Wed May 6 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0230 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 08N83W to 06N121W. The ITCZ continues from 06N121W to 08N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 01N to 12N and E of 105W, and from 05N to 11N and W of 112W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Moderate SW gap winds are in the northern Gulf of California, with seas of 4-5 ft. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 3 ft or less, are over the remainder of the Gulf. Moderate winds, and seas of 6-7 ft, prevail west of the Baja California peninsula. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 4-6 ft, are noted elsewhere. For the forecast, moderate to fresh winds will prevail offshore Baja California through midweek before diminishing slightly. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are expected through the remainder of the week and over the weekend. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate winds are over the Gulf of Papagayo, extending downstream to near 91W. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Seas are moderate in S-SW swell across the waters, except slight offshore Colombia. For the forecast, moderate to fresh easterly winds will pulse at night in the Papagayo region through Sat night, then pulse to strong Sun night. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas in southerly swell are expected. A set of SW swell may briefly build seas to rough south of the Galapagos Islands on Fri. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A ridge dominates the forecast waters north of the ITCZ. The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds north of the ITCZ to 17N between 130W and 140W. Seas are 7-9 ft over these waters. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are noted. For the forecast, the pressure gradient will support fresh trades, strong at times, north of the ITCZ to about 20N and west of 120W through the remainder of the week and the weekend, with seas of 7-9 ft across this area. Mainly gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas will prevail elsewhere through the week, except seas building to rough south of the Equator by mid-week in southerly swell.