Tropical Weather Discussion

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Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Sun Jun 14 2026 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0800 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... The axis of a tropical wave is near 85W extending from the Caribbean southward, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 00N to Panama and E of 87W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 09.5N84.5W to 10N110W to 07.5N140W. Two areas of low pressure are embedded within the monsoon trough, one is a 1009 mb low near 09N125W, and the other a 1009 mb low near 08N133W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N to 11N between 106W and 115W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted along the monsoon trough in the vicinity of the lows from 04.5N to 11N between 119W and 138W. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Weak 1017 mb high pressure is centered west of the area near 29N129W. A surface trough extends from the Gulf of California to Baja California Sur. The pressure gradient between these features is supporting gentle to locally moderate NW winds west of Baja California, extending southward to near Cabo San Lucas, and over the Gulf of California. A weak pressure gradient across the remainder of the discussion waters is supporting light to gentle winds over the waters south of southern and southwestern Mexico. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range over the open waters off Mexico, and 3 ft or less in the Gulf of California. For the forecast, gentle to moderate NW winds will prevail across the waters of Baja California through this morning. Thereafter, a tighter pressure gradient will support mainly moderate NW winds pulsing to locally fresh speeds at night. Gentle to occasionally moderate S to SW winds are expected inside the Gulf of California and near the tip of Baja California Sur. The pressure gradient will also tighten inside the Gulf by mid- week, supporting moderate to locally fresh SE winds. Light to gentle winds will dominate the waters between Cabo Corrientes and Tehunatepec. ....OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Please refer to the Tropical Wave section above for more information about a tropical wave over the area. Moderate to locally fresh NE winds prevail in the Gulf of Papagayo. Gentle to locally moderate S to SW winds are found between the Galapagos Islands and Colombia. Gentle winds are found elsewhere. Seas are in the 5-6 ft range between the Galapagos Islands and Colombia, and 4-6 ft elsewhere. For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas will prevail across the offshore waters through the weekend. Moderate winds will pulse to fresh in diurnal offshore flow in the immediate Gulf of Papagayo into early next week, possibly reaching strong speeds early today as a tropical wave over the area enhances gap flow. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A weak pressure gradient is supporting light to gentle winds, locally moderate, N of the monsoon trough. Two areas of low pressure are embedded within the monsoon trough, one is a 1009 mb low near 09N125W, and the other a 1009 mb low near 08N133W. Moderate to fresh winds are S of the monsoon trough and W of 123W, reaching strong speeds S of two areas of low pressure. Gentle to moderate winds are elsewhere S of the monsoon trough. Rough seas to 10 ft are over the waters S of the two lows, with mainly moderate seas found elsewhere. For the forecast, fresh to occasionally strong winds, and rough seas, are expected near the low pressure areas along western portion of the monsoon trough into early next week. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds, and moderate seas, will prevail across the open waters.